2010 PATCH SPRINT RACE PREDICTIONS
"This is the year that the Kobak-Fiegl reign comes to an end!" For the 15th consecutive year, USA Today oddsmaker Danny Sheridan makes his picks for the Patch Sprint. In 2009, Sheridan hit on four of the six division winners, with the two other choices finishing a close second.. Sheridan says, "The field is amazing and I project 16 runners will better three hours; over 50 will be under the four hour mark. The overall champion will once again come from the Men's Open division and I project runaway wins in some divisions while others are too close to call. It's supposed to be warm-- The course record could fall, but breaking the two hour mark will not happen. Of course, I could be wrong!"
Place	Race #	MEN'S OPEN	Age	Finish Time	The Skinny
1	4	Cole Starkey	25	2:06:55	Bare: 11:05… Snake: 37:29… Loaf: 1:21:23. First new champion in 10 years.
2	2	John Richardson	31	2:18:12	If Starkey should sprain an ankle early, the race for the "Janny" will be tight
3	55	Ben Stanley	28	2:20:06	Fastest personal time yet; would break 2:20 on a cooler day
4	54	Alec Bohn	17	2:24:09	As a 15 year old (2008), became fourth fastest Patch Sprinter ever
5	5	Jason Metakis	33	2:35:26	Is in the same incredible condition as he was during his college football days
6	1	Jason Fiegl	36	2:36:17	Rumors of his demise were greatly exaggerated
7	74	Matt Gibson	38	2:39:42	First PS; has always been a good runner and all-around athlete
8	7	Tom Moffett	35	2:44:37	Trains his butt off to crack the top ten every year
9	107	Quentin Chu	33	2:54:35	Patch and Ironman Triathlon veteran just needs to stay on course
10	11	Marc Metakis	33	2:55:11	Breaking three hours- no problem. Beating his brother- problem.
11	22	Jacob Gittler	18	2:56:24	Planning to "run for fun" but will get sub-three-hour fever along the way
12	86	Brendan Gibson	34	3:01:36	Brendan on drums, Jody on guitar, Joe on bass- Helluva Patch band.
13	14	Brian DeGroat	27	3:03:04	Inconsistent training season; If it's a good day, he'll be under 3:00
14	70	Ben Resnick	17	3:06:15	State ranked scholastic cross-country runner runs out of gas in the late going
15	12	Matt Elliott	32	3:09:20	Matty is amazingly consistent. Having lost some weight, he could be faster.
16	105	Grant Haynes	24	3:14:09	Take the "n" out of his last name and you have back-to-back Presidents (18-19)
17	88	Luke Franklin	27	3:15:22	His friend Brian invited him and then blows him off mid-race
18	17	Joseph Zimmerman	10	3:20:09	Not at all effected by the heat, but not yet strong enough to approach three hours
19	108	Mattie Leto	37	3:28:11	Name Anagram: "Team Toilet"
20	103	Kevin Klein	26	3:28:54	Kevin Kline played the President. Kevin Klein works in Congress
21	26	Andrew Gonzalez	14	3:29:40	Comes close (7 inches) to a hole-in-one at Sunday's golf outing
22	23	Alec Gonzalez	12	3:33:23	Six racers and trekkers in the field should finish 46ers during the next year
23t	36	Danny Delaney	24	3:45:12	If he wants to race, he'll be 45 minutes quicker. But he won't.
23t	109	Andy Hill	23	3:45:12	Close friends with Cole but he won't be close to Cole
25	27	David Anderson	29	3:52:46	Improved finish ties each year he's run
26	73	Matt Bresler	26	4:48:38	Former race start decides to give it uh go
27	106	Ike Lang	16	5:03:10	First time out; will hang with trekkers he's familiar with
Place	Race #	MEN'S MASTERS	Age	Finish Time	The Skinny
1	3	Jim Kobak	41	2:29:57	Consistency personified: His slowest racing time ever: 2:38:56
2	8	Jerry Ross	59	2:42:56	Not only races like he's 20 years younger, his body looks 20 years younger
3	9	John Regentin	40	2:44:27	Switched from Clydesdale to MM and will medal for the 2nd straight year
4	84	Franz Haas	43	3:03:22	Not only a fast runner, but a champion skiier and canoeist
5	10	Tom Lynch	48	3:09:30	Ignores injuries and throws caution to the wind, limping up Pok-O
6	75	Gerald Duprey	64	3:19:43	Oldest 10:00am elite starter ever
7	25	Tim Singer	51	3:23:07	Needs to finish to stay ahead of Fiegl for most Patch Sprints
8	68	Byron Haynes	53	3:27:23	Blowing off wife's birthday to run Patch Sprint
9	33	John Rayburn	45	4:12:18	Top-four division finsh… if there were a 40-49 division
10	99	Mark Gibson	64	4:28:16	Second lowest 46er number in race field (#225)
11	32	David Mason	45	4:33:32	Name Anagram: "Avid Mad Son"
Place	Race #	WOMEN'S OPEN	Age	Finish Time	The Skinny
1	6	Deborah Nordyke	48	2:28:15	Three-for-three, with improvement over '09, but doesn't match her course record.
2	98	Annie Preston	18	2:56:24	30 years younger and one-half hour slower than the winner
3	18	Marcie Kobak	29	3:09:23	Course took her by surprise last year; this time around, she's ready
4	16	Stephanie Lylis	37	3:16:01	Tied for most Patch Sprint finishes amongst females
5	77	Shelly Flones	37	3:16:05	Seasoned trail racer does has not trained enough on hills.
6	104	Lora Golann	26	3:20:48	Name Anagram: "Nagano Roll"
7	20	Stephanie Konowitz	39	3:23:07	Reaches Pok-O in time for a thrilling Kindersprint finish involving her son
8	89	Katie Moffett	26	3:25:27	DOOM training raised her intitial expectations
9t	57	Cecilia Disney	25	3:26:57	Only family member here; lowest Disney total since 2001
9t	81	Kristen Tawse	25	3:26:57	Standout middle distance runner during college days at Penn State
11	19	Jessica Anderson	31	3:33:07	Not sure how Jess feels about fact that Steph no longer runs with her
12	35	Rebecca Blum	27	4:02:47	Has worked very hard to be taken seriously as a runner; may break four hours
13t	94	Gabriella Armstrong	11	4:16:35	Youngest racer in 2010 Women's field
13t	93	Nina Armstrong	13	4:16:35	It's one small step for man, one giant leap for Patchkind"
15	87	Julie Warren	30	4:23:18	Give or take two hours
16	38	Diana Timko	19	4:30:05	An avalanche on Pok-O involving a dozen or so racers could move her into top 3
Place	Race #	WOMEN'S MASTERS	Age	Finish Time	The Skinny
1	78	Ellie M. Bouffard	49	3:13:22	Will be steady on the runs and climbs; tentative on the descents
2	72	Judy Bisaillon	44	3:17:10	Won overall women's title nine years ago; hasn't lost a step.
3	24	Pam Gonzalez	45	3:29:24	Slips in to the medals by a mere 12 seconds
4	76	Mary Duprey	50	3:29:36	First ever 10:00am start time for this division
5	83	Magali Haas	42	3:39:52	Survives attack of the Northern Goshawk on Sugarloaf
6	34	Kathleen Wiley	40	3:45:49	First time racer, but knows course; could surprise some folks
7	37	Karen Lounsbury	44	4:01:17	Finishes in a time that would have earned a podium in every previous year
8	92	Karen Armstrong	47	4:16:35	There are some racers in the field whom Danny S. has never heard of
Place (Net)	Race #	CLYDESDALE	Age	Finish Time	The Fat (total time - pounds exceeding 200 = Net Time)
1	13	Ken Ryba	53	3:09:52	These big racers all have short names
2	21	Ken Herz	50	3:28:11	Starting one hour earlier then Ryba; could benefit from cooler temps.
3	31	Josh Bornt	30	4:19:40	If he can finish under four hours, he could nudge Herz for 2nd in division
4	60	John Bush	56	5:21:02	There have been two Presidents with this last name
Place	Race #	TREKKER	Age	Finish Time	The Skinny
*** TREKKERS do not compete for placing
-	15	Joe Mattimore	38	3:47:49	Treks course almost as if he were still racing
-	28	Peter Joelson	18	3:56:39	More mature pacing finally gets him under the four hour barrier
-	62	Andrew Spaulding	18	4:00:06	Six seconds! If he hadn't taken that bathroom break!
-	65	Mike Taptick	28	4:08:15	If you're speeding through Addison County, look out for this bad ass cop
-	101	Genevieve Chavez	25	4:09:40	Former High School middle distance runner new to this format
-	85	Kira Baca	22	4:12:18	First time Patch Sprinter will return in '11 to race a half hour faster
-	69	Cara Gentry	38	4:12:18	Gets on top just in time to see close men's open battle for 2nd, 3rd and 4th
-	90	Mary Peabody	45	4:15:04	Initially planned to race the course but opted for more casual pace
-	79	Alisa Harrison	31	4:25:58	Name Anagram: "A hair salon, sir"
-	80	Scott Harrison	31	4:25:58	There have been two Presidents with this last name
-	59	Mimi Petrovich	27	4:25:58	Bunny helps to bring her down Friday night, costs her 25 minutes on course
-	63	Jody Edwards	52	4:38:38	Could have been any number
-	110	Mike Horwich	32	4:38:49	Doctoral thesis: "Regulation of Gene Expression By miRNAs "
-	111	Hilary Moss	33	4:38:49	Regular volunteer and donor laces up the Patch shoes for the first time
	30	Rachel Newman	29	4:40:03	What do you get when you cross Jennifer Aniston with Wayne Knight?
-	66	Doc Browning	56	4:44:29	Once set a Guiness world record for most free throws in 24 hours
-	71	Steve Resnick	54	4:52:01	"Dr. Resnick to the summit of Pok-O. Stat!"
-	53	Christine Bourjade	58	4:56:00	No Russians in this year's race, but one from New Russia
-	52	Phil Corell	64	4:56:00	Every few years he shows up in great shape. This could be that year
-	29	Chris Bell	52	4:59:39	Once again travels the farthest and does the most volunteering of any racer or trekker
-	58	Marianne Perreault	44	4:59:39	Former women's masters medalist will be back in that division next year
-	91	Marilyn Ryba	53	4:59:39	We will miss not seeing her smiling face serving up drinks at the Homestead
-	61	Tricia Woodward	31	4:59:39	Nursing a foot injury; may start early, may bag it alltogether
-	97	Joe Gijanto	25	5:04:22	Sounds like a character from "The Sopranos"
-	82	Marque Moffett	37	5:04:22	Jogs the first 50 yards before saying, "Enough running for one day"
-	50	Jon Schreiner	11	5:04:22	His mother will pass him on the way down Sugarloaf
-	42	Arianne Spaulding	14	5:12:26	Potential to finish in a time of 5:12:23
-	41	Brad Spaulding	48	5:12:26	Bemoans the fact that he wore long pants instead of shorts
-	96	Charlie Cary	56	5:21:02	Carries a book of dirty limericks to amuse his friends
-	51	David Joelson	55	5:21:02	Back in the saddle again after dropping out of 2009 event
-	39	Bob Mason	57	5:21:02	Makes the wrong turn off of Bare; catches up with friends who didn't notice
-	40	Tom Nold	55	5:21:02	Name Anagram: "Mold Not"
-	44	Chad Canning	10	5:33:12	Will soon have three younger siblings to boss around
-	43	Drew Canning	38	5:33:12	Four is easier than three
-	45	Nora Canning	8	5:33:12	Youngest ever Patch Sprinter will try, unsuccessfully, to run ahead of rest of group
-	111	Colden Mitchell	10	5:33:12	Got the last spot in the race when another runner dropped out
-	102	Katie Stuart	39	5:33:12	The least competitive of the Kobaks enjoys walk with friends
-	95	Patrick Dunn	20	5:42:05	Has lost lots of weight and improved to 20,000,000-1 odds of winning "Janny"
-	67	Pete Henderson	67	6:07:41	Will win the 2010 Senior Award as oldest finisher
-	49	Sheri Hartel	43	6:16:10	Longest out on the trail translates to more fun than anyone
-	46	Matt Moscato	35	6:16:10	One of these days he'll return to racing, and maybe winning
-	48	Michael Moscato	42	6:16:10	Uses the "Early Bird" start but still misses sunrise from Rattlesnake
-	47	Sierra Moscato	9	6:16:10	Owes her father a piggy back ride around the course
-	100	Sharon Peck	31	6:16:10	Fourth member of Moscato family to sprint the patch
-	64	Eric Bauer	33	dnf	so are Sharpe, Phil, Ken, Jim, Marko, Danny Boy and Matty
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Place	Race #	KINDER SPRINT	Age	Finish Time	The Skinny
1	221	Eric Schreiner	9	29:11	This is going to be a classic duel with 2009 places being reversed
2	220	Jackson Konowitz	8	30:06	Will we recognize him when the adult teeth grow in?
3	228	Asa Peabody	8	35:12	Good name for a Civil War General
4	222	Katrin Schreiner	6	43:23	Could crack top 3 if she hangs with brother a bit longer
5	223	Katherine Zimmerman	8	47:48	Most experienced racer in division eases into a top 5
6	230	Myles Mitchell	6	52:42	From the top of Pok-O you can see for miles and Myles
7	225	Wyatt Trzaskos	4	59:31	Good name for a Civil War era sheriff
8	229	Arden Calhoun	4	1:00:19	Speaking of names, there are no common first names in this division
9	226	Eliza Konowitz	4	1:03:58	Spotted picking flowers on edge of a steep cliff
10	227	Violet Peck	4	1:11:52	Sugar rush from too many energy gels; bonks midway
11	224	Luke Moffett	5	1:17:44	Nearly made it to the top of Pok-O during recent training run
		Above list based on entrants and projected entrants through May 26
		Race number based on most recent placing
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